Use Classical Probability when:
- Drawing from a collection (balls, cards) without replacement
- Arrangements or selections
- Sample space is finite and outcomes are equally likely
- Events involve combinations/permutations
Use Binomial Distribution when:
- Fixed number of independent trials
- Each trial has exactly two outcomes
- Probability of success is constant across trials
- Question asks for probability of exactly/at least/at most k successes
Key difference: Classical probability counts outcomes from a single experiment. Binomial models repeated independent experiments with the same success probability.
Trap: Drawing WITH replacement from a bag → Binomial (trials are independent). Drawing WITHOUT replacement → Classical/Hypergeometric (trials are dependent).